Pre-tourney Rankings
Missouri St.
Missouri Valley
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.0#97
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#123
Pace62.1#285
Improvement-6.7#340

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#128
Improvement-3.2#312

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#78
Improvement-3.5#318
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 100   @ Nevada W 68-46 38%     1 - 0 +30.3 +3.1 +28.3
  Nov 15, 2011 193   @ Arkansas St. W 77-46 63%     2 - 0 +32.7 +5.8 +27.8
  Nov 26, 2011 94   Tulsa W 69-64 OT 62%     3 - 0 +6.8 -10.0 +16.2
  Nov 30, 2011 87   @ Oral Roberts L 63-68 34%     3 - 1 +4.1 -7.5 +11.5
  Dec 03, 2011 14   @ New Mexico L 60-76 13%     3 - 2 +1.3 -2.2 +3.4
  Dec 07, 2011 90   Oklahoma St. L 67-72 61%     3 - 3 -3.0 -2.2 -1.0
  Dec 10, 2011 183   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 68-60 60%     4 - 3 +10.4 +8.9 +2.6
  Dec 17, 2011 314   Kennesaw St. W 78-55 96%     5 - 3 +8.2 +11.2 +1.7
  Dec 19, 2011 306   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 66-53 95%     6 - 3 -0.3 -11.2 +10.6
  Dec 22, 2011 37   West Virginia L 68-70 OT 30%     6 - 4 +8.4 +0.1 +8.3
  Dec 23, 2011 38   St. Mary's L 61-77 31%     6 - 5 -5.9 -6.0 -0.9
  Dec 28, 2011 28   @ Creighton W 77-65 18%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +26.6 +9.2 +18.0
  Dec 31, 2011 130   Drake W 72-61 71%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +10.1 +12.1 -0.3
  Jan 04, 2012 101   Illinois St. L 60-68 64%     8 - 6 2 - 1 -6.6 -11.1 +4.2
  Jan 07, 2012 132   @ Indiana St. W 69-63 47%     9 - 6 3 - 1 +11.8 +5.9 +6.4
  Jan 10, 2012 217   Southern Illinois W 77-65 86%     10 - 6 4 - 1 +5.6 -3.2 +8.1
  Jan 13, 2012 89   @ Northern Iowa L 60-61 35%     10 - 7 4 - 2 +7.9 -1.3 +9.1
  Jan 15, 2012 113   Evansville L 82-87 OT 67%     10 - 8 4 - 3 -4.6 -0.6 -3.5
  Jan 18, 2012 28   Creighton L 65-66 39%     10 - 9 4 - 4 +6.8 -0.7 +7.4
  Jan 21, 2012 256   @ Bradley W 51-48 76%     11 - 9 5 - 4 +0.8 -11.5 +12.8
  Jan 25, 2012 101   @ Illinois St. L 69-76 OT 38%     11 - 10 5 - 5 +1.2 -0.2 +1.3
  Jan 28, 2012 89   Northern Iowa W 63-51 61%     12 - 10 6 - 5 +14.1 +3.5 +12.9
  Feb 01, 2012 9   Wichita St. L 67-74 26%     12 - 11 6 - 6 +4.7 +3.4 +0.8
  Feb 04, 2012 130   @ Drake W 57-39 46%     13 - 11 7 - 6 +23.9 +3.3 +25.1
  Feb 08, 2012 217   @ Southern Illinois W 56-54 67%     14 - 11 8 - 6 +2.4 -3.0 +5.9
  Feb 12, 2012 256   Bradley W 64-53 90%     15 - 11 9 - 6 +2.0 -0.9 +4.6
  Feb 15, 2012 9   @ Wichita St. L 58-73 11%     15 - 12 9 - 7 +3.5 +0.2 +1.3
  Feb 18, 2012 107   Old Dominion L 67-73 66%     15 - 13 -5.2 +7.4 -13.5
  Feb 22, 2012 132   Indiana St. L 46-59 72%     15 - 14 9 - 8 -14.0 -21.0 +5.7
  Feb 25, 2012 113   @ Evansville L 70-75 OT 41%     15 - 15 9 - 9 +2.2 -10.2 +13.0
  Mar 02, 2012 113   Evansville L 64-72 54%     15 - 16 -4.2 -4.1 -0.8
Projected Record 15.0 - 16.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%